Why would Donald Trump move closer to Russia in his second term?

This is a very interesting question. Let’s break it down into a few parts: background, strategic reasons, and political motivations that may explain why Trump would lean closer to Russia in a potential second term.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Trump’s foreign policy in his first term

Trump’s approach was defined by “America First” — prioritizing U.S. interests, reducing global interventions, and disrupting traditional international alliances.
He often showed a soft stance toward Putin, despite U.S. intelligence agencies accusing Russia of interfering in the 2016 election.
Trump criticized NATO, saying European countries weren’t paying their fair share, while appearing open to “making deals” with Russia.

2. Why move closer to Russia in a second term?

a. China is seen as the bigger threat

Both Trump and the Republican party now view China as the primary strategic rival.
To focus on competing with China, it would be strategic to neutralize or de-escalate tensions with Russia.
This “divide and conquer” tactic avoids pushing China and Russia closer together.

b. Reducing overseas costs and long wars

Trump wants to pull the U.S. back from expensive commitments like aid to Ukraine and NATO involvement.
Making peace with Russia would allow Trump to cut military spending in Europe, aligning with his “America First” message.

c. Personal style and relationships

Trump often praises strongman leaders (Putin, Kim Jong-un, etc.).
He may believe he can personally negotiate with Putin without needing open confrontation.

3. Potential impact and controversy

Moving closer to Russia could strain the NATO alliance and weaken Western unity.
Analysts fear Ukraine might be abandoned, and Russia could gain influence through negotiations.